AGOVV Apeldoorn vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
70.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGOVV Apeldoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
1 - 2
APE
32%
24%
44%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
APE
2 - 3
BVV
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 2
APE
31%
24%
45%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
APE
2 - 1
FCO
61%
21%
19%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2009 |
HFC
1 - 2
APE
28%
25%
47%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
VVV
0 - 4
AJA
16%
20%
64%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
AJA
0 - 0
TIM
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
AJA
6 - 0
NAC
71%
17%
11%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
HER
0 - 3
AJA
13%
19%
68%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
SBR
1 - 2
AJA
23%
23%
54%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |