Agoncillo vs Racing Rioja B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
5º
4º
14
12º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 57 |
5º
|
62.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
6º
|
94% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
2.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
71.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
51% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
49% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Agoncillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ANG
4 - 0
AGO
50%
23%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 1
AGO
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AGO
2 - 0
BAL
55%
23%
22%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 1
AGO
45%
23%
32%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
AGO
0 - 2
NAX
34%
24%
42%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Racing Rioja B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
RRF
1 - 1
BAL
18%
20%
63%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 2
RRF
80%
12%
8%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
RRF
1 - 3
NAX
10%
15%
75%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CDC
3 - 0
RRF
67%
18%
15%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RRF
1 - 2
COM
54%
21%
25%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |