Agios Thomas vs AEL Larisa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
54.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Agios Thomas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
KAM
2 - 1
AGI
79%
14%
8%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
AGI
3 - 0
TIL
57%
21%
22%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
DOX
3 - 1
AGI
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
AGI
4 - 2
KER
60%
20%
20%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
PYR
2 - 1
AGI
71%
18%
11%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
LAR
4 - 0
KAS
83%
12%
5%
|
51 | 21 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
THE
0 - 1
LAR
29%
28%
44%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ETH
1 - 0
LAR
31%
29%
40%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
LAR
4 - 0
KER
80%
13%
6%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
KAS
0 - 2
LAR
21%
26%
54%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |