Q. Europa League Final
Global 3-2
AGF Aarhus vs Újpest FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
13.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
SIF
2 - 0
AGF
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1997 |
AGF
1 - 3
FCK
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 1997 |
UJP
0 - 0
AGF
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1997 |
HER
1 - 3
AGF
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1997 |
AGF
5 - 2
OBK
62%
21%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
DIO
0 - 2
UJP
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1997 |
UJP
0 - 0
AGF
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
UJP
2 - 2
SAM
78%
15%
8%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1997 |
UJP
2 - 3
GYO
74%
17%
10%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 1997 |
KLA
2 - 3
UJP
25%
25%
50%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |