Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 4-4
AGF Aarhus vs FCSB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1992 |
AGF
3 - 2
OBK
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1992 |
LYN
1 - 1
AGF
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1992 |
AGF
0 - 1
BIF
41%
25%
33%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1992 |
AGF
1 - 1
AIK
56%
23%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1992 |
BIF
0 - 0
AGF
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1992 |
STB
6 - 0
TIM
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1992 |
SPO
0 - 3
STB
41%
27%
33%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1992 |
STB
4 - 0
BOH
86%
9%
5%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1992 |
STB
1 - 0
DBU
62%
22%
17%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1992 |
CRA
1 - 0
STB
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |