AGF Aarhus vs SonderjyskE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
2º
8º
2º
5
9º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 44 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
17 | 39 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 38 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 38 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 37 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 36 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 30 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 28 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 27 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
|
11º
|
5 | 23 |
10º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 15 |
11º
|
56% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 12 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
95% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5% | 97.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FCK
3 - 2
AGF
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
AGF
1 - 1
MID
30%
25%
46%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
LUT
1 - 2
AGF
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
MID
4 - 0
AGF
60%
21%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
ACH
0 - 3
AGF
19%
22%
59%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
SonderjyskE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
SON
1 - 1
LYN
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SIF
1 - 0
SON
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
FCK
3 - 2
SON
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
HOL
0 - 0
SON
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
SON
2 - 2
HOB
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |