AGF Aarhus vs Nordsjaelland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
37.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
VFF
1 - 1
AGF
54%
24%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
LYN
0 - 1
AGF
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
AGF
2 - 2
BIF
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FCN
1 - 1
AGF
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
AKA
0 - 3
AGF
17%
21%
62%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Nordsjaelland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
MID
0 - 0
FCN
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
FCN
2 - 0
ACH
56%
24%
21%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
RAN
0 - 2
FCN
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FCN
1 - 1
AGF
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 5
FCN
4%
11%
86%
|
74 | 32 | 42 | 0 |