AGF Aarhus vs Nordsjaelland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
AAB
4 - 1
AGF
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
AGF
0 - 2
FCK
34%
25%
41%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
HER
1 - 0
AGF
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
ESB
3 - 3
AGF
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
AGF
0 - 1
AAB
46%
24%
30%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nordsjaelland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
FCN
0 - 4
VFF
40%
26%
35%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
ESB
4 - 0
FCN
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
FCN
0 - 0
BIF
28%
24%
48%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
FCN
1 - 0
AKA
65%
21%
15%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
VFF
0 - 0
FCN
54%
24%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |