Champions League 1/16
Global 2-6
AGF Aarhus vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
28.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1955 |
REI
2 - 2
AGF
76%
14%
10%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1955 |
AGF
0 - 2
REI
45%
22%
33%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
MAR
3 - 1
NIC
51%
22%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
LEN
6 - 1
NIC
52%
21%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1956 |
NIC
4 - 2
SOC
60%
20%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1956 |
REI
3 - 1
NIC
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1956 |
NIC
2 - 2
ASS
52%
21%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |