AGF Aarhus vs Næstved analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
11.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1992 |
B19
0 - 4
AGF
23%
29%
49%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1992 |
AGF
1 - 1
FRE
57%
25%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1992 |
AAB
3 - 2
AGF
63%
20%
18%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1992 |
OBK
3 - 2
AGF
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1992 |
AGF
1 - 0
LYN
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Næstved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1992 |
NAE
2 - 1
LYN
34%
30%
36%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1992 |
BIF
2 - 1
NAE
69%
19%
11%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1992 |
NAE
0 - 2
FCK
32%
27%
40%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1992 |
SIF
4 - 0
NAE
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 1992 |
NAE
0 - 4
OBK
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |