AGF Aarhus vs Midtjylland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
45.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
8º
2º
20
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
20 | 45 |
1º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
16 | 40 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 38 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 36 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 36 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 36 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 29 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 28 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 25 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 24 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 17 |
11º
|
44% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 13 |
12º
|
57.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
92% | 99% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
LUT
1 - 2
AGF
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
MID
4 - 0
AGF
60%
21%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
ACH
0 - 3
AGF
19%
22%
59%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
SSF
0 - 9
AGF
3%
9%
88%
|
80 | 7 | 73 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
AGF
0 - 0
BRA
83%
13%
4%
|
80 | 43 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Midtjylland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
STR
1 - 0
MID
32%
24%
44%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
S04
2 - 4
MID
30%
24%
46%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
MID
4 - 0
AGF
60%
21%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
MID
2 - 2
SON
60%
20%
20%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
MID
3 - 3
SIF
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |