AGF Aarhus vs Midtjylland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
46.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
6º
6º
63
3º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
58 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 15 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
63 | 15 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
SIF
2 - 2
AGF
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
FCN
2 - 3
AGF
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
AGF
1 - 0
HVI
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SIF
0 - 1
AGF
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
AGF
1 - 1
OBK
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Midtjylland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
MID
2 - 3
FCN
51%
23%
26%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MID
3 - 0
VEJ
73%
17%
9%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
RAN
0 - 1
MID
16%
22%
63%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
MID
2 - 0
FCK
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
AGF
2 - 3
MID
30%
25%
46%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |