AGF Aarhus vs Midtjylland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
55.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
OBK
0 - 0
AGF
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
AGF
0 - 2
SON
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
RAN
1 - 0
AGF
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
AGF
1 - 0
AAB
36%
26%
39%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
MID
4 - 0
AGF
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Midtjylland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
CRV
0 - 1
MID
46%
23%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
RAN
1 - 3
MID
26%
25%
49%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
MID
3 - 1
AAB
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MID
3 - 2
SON
68%
20%
13%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
MID
1 - 1
CRV
44%
24%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |