Champions League 1/16
Global 3-1
AGF Aarhus vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
28.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1957 |
AGF
2 - 0
SEV
39%
23%
39%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1957 |
SEV
4 - 0
AGF
78%
13%
9%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1957 |
GLE
0 - 3
AGF
45%
21%
35%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1957 |
AGF
0 - 0
GLE
60%
18%
22%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1956 |
NIC
5 - 1
AGF
68%
17%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1956 |
WAR
2 - 0
SBR
66%
17%
17%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1956 |
SBR
4 - 0
WAR
54%
20%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1928 |
CLO
0 - 1
WAR
39%
20%
41%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1928 |
WAR
3 - 0
POL
69%
15%
16%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1928 |
WAR
6 - 2
WAR
49%
20%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |