AGF Aarhus vs AC Horsens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ACH
1 - 2
AGF
20%
23%
58%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
AGF
3 - 1
BIF
41%
25%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
FCN
3 - 1
AGF
32%
24%
44%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
AGF
1 - 2
MID
34%
24%
42%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
KOL
3 - 3
AGF
12%
18%
70%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ACH
1 - 2
AGF
20%
23%
58%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
FCK
2 - 0
ACH
68%
20%
13%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
ACH
3 - 1
VEJ
41%
26%
34%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
LYN
1 - 1
ACH
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
SKI
2 - 4
ACH
10%
17%
73%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |