Champions League Last 16
Global 4-0
AGF Aarhus vs Fredrikstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
39.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1960 |
WAR
1 - 0
AGF
66%
17%
17%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1960 |
AGF
3 - 0
WAR
50%
21%
28%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1957 |
AGF
2 - 0
SEV
39%
23%
39%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1957 |
SEV
4 - 0
AGF
78%
13%
9%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1957 |
GLE
0 - 3
AGF
45%
21%
35%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
FFK
1 - 2
LAR
74%
14%
12%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
FFK
4 - 1
VKG
77%
13%
10%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
VIF
4 - 2
FFK
32%
23%
46%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1960 |
AJA
0 - 0
FFK
44%
22%
35%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1960 |
FFK
4 - 3
AJA
64%
17%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |