AGF Aarhus vs Fredericia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
VFF
2 - 3
AGF
24%
28%
48%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
AGF
2 - 0
ROS
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
VES
1 - 1
AGF
36%
28%
37%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
AGF
3 - 0
KOL
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
AGF
2 - 0
HOB
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Fredericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FRE
1 - 3
SKI
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
AKA
0 - 4
FRE
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FRE
5 - 0
VEN
72%
18%
11%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
FRE
3 - 0
VFF
61%
21%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FRE
4 - 5
VES
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |