AGF Aarhus vs Kobenhavn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
8º
6º
33
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
33 | 41 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
33 | 40 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 37 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 37 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 35 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 34 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 28 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 24 |
9º
|
56% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 21 |
10º
|
68.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 14 |
11º
|
79% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 10 |
12º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
81% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
19% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
SKI
2 - 3
AGF
12%
19%
70%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
AGF
2 - 1
LYN
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MID
2 - 0
AGF
46%
24%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
AGF
1 - 0
BIF
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
HSV
1 - 1
AGF
55%
22%
23%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Kobenhavn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
FCK
2 - 2
IST
46%
25%
28%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
FCK
2 - 2
SIF
47%
24%
29%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SON
1 - 2
FCK
28%
24%
48%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
BIF
0 - 0
FCK
44%
24%
33%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
BET
1 - 1
FCK
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |