AGF Aarhus vs Kobenhavn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
59.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
4º
2º
59
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 16 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 14 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 14 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
BIF
1 - 0
AGF
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
VFF
0 - 1
AGF
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
AGF
1 - 1
RAN
42%
28%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
HOL
0 - 2
AGF
42%
24%
34%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
AGF
1 - 0
OBK
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kobenhavn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
FCK
2 - 1
VFF
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
RAN
1 - 0
FCK
19%
23%
58%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
VEJ
0 - 0
FCK
16%
22%
62%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FCK
2 - 1
FCN
55%
24%
22%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
FCK
1 - 1
BBS
51%
23%
26%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |