AGF Aarhus vs Esbjerg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
31.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
MID
1 - 1
AGF
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
AGF
2 - 2
FCN
45%
24%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
KBK
1 - 4
AGF
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
AGF
2 - 1
SIF
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
BIF
1 - 1
AGF
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2003 |
ESB
0 - 0
FCK
39%
25%
37%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
ESB
4 - 1
MID
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
FCN
2 - 3
ESB
52%
24%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
ESB
6 - 1
KBK
62%
20%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
SIF
2 - 2
ESB
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |