Europa League 1/32
Global 1-5
AGF Aarhus vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
56.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
CEL
1 - 0
AGF
87%
8%
5%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1979 |
BYM
3 - 1
AGF
81%
12%
7%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1979 |
AGF
1 - 2
BYM
34%
24%
42%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
STA
0 - 1
AGF
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
AGF
1 - 1
STA
58%
21%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1983 |
DUN
2 - 6
CEL
36%
25%
39%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1983 |
MHE
0 - 3
CEL
30%
25%
45%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
CEL
1 - 0
AGF
87%
8%
5%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
CEL
5 - 2
STJ
85%
10%
4%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1983 |
CEL
5 - 1
HIB
79%
13%
8%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |