Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 0-3
AGF Aarhus vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
38.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
VST
1 - 2
AGF
62%
19%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1965 |
AGF
2 - 1
VST
57%
21%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1961 |
AGF
2 - 3
BRE
73%
14%
13%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1961 |
BRE
2 - 0
AGF
27%
21%
52%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1961 |
AGF
1 - 4
SLB
34%
23%
43%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1965 |
CEL
6 - 1
STI
76%
15%
9%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1965 |
DUN
1 - 2
CEL
53%
20%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1965 |
GLA
1 - 2
CEL
63%
17%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1965 |
CEL
4 - 0
HIB
55%
21%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1965 |
FAL
3 - 4
CEL
21%
21%
59%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | +1 |