Champions League Last 16
Global 0-1
AGF Aarhus vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
54.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
JEU
1 - 0
AGF
32%
25%
43%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
AGF
4 - 1
JEU
73%
16%
11%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
AGF
0 - 1
KSV
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
KSV
5 - 2
AGF
75%
15%
10%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
AGF
1 - 0
WLO
43%
23%
34%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1987 |
SLB
2 - 0
SAL
81%
14%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
CHA
1 - 0
SLB
26%
24%
50%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
SLB
1 - 0
OEL
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
PAR
0 - 3
SLB
16%
24%
60%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
SCP
1 - 1
SLB
55%
24%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |