Europa League 1/16
Global 2-5
AGF Aarhus vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
42%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
STA
0 - 1
AGF
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
AGF
1 - 1
STA
58%
21%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1965 |
CEL
2 - 0
AGF
66%
18%
15%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1965 |
AGF
0 - 1
CEL
39%
22%
39%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
VST
1 - 2
AGF
62%
19%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
EIN
3 - 2
BYM
57%
21%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
BYM
2 - 0
KAI
61%
20%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
BYM
2 - 2
BOH
82%
11%
6%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
VIK
1 - 3
BYM
16%
17%
68%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
MSV
1 - 2
BYM
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |