Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-4
AGF Aarhus vs AIK Solna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1992 |
BIF
0 - 0
AGF
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1992 |
AGF
0 - 0
FCK
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1992 |
AIK
3 - 3
AGF
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1992 |
SIF
1 - 1
AGF
51%
27%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
AGF
0 - 1
NAE
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
AIK Solna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1992 |
AIK
4 - 0
TRE
58%
25%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1992 |
GÖT
2 - 0
AIK
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1992 |
AIK
3 - 3
AGF
45%
24%
31%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1992 |
AIK
4 - 2
GÖT
35%
29%
36%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1992 |
TRE
0 - 5
AIK
51%
26%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |