AGF Aarhus Reservas vs Randers Reservas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
41.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
4º
11º
8º
6
5º
11º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 13 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 13 |
2º
|
66% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 9 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 9 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
32% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 6 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 6 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
48.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
38% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 4 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus Reservas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
OBR
1 - 2
AGF
37%
22%
42%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
AGF
1 - 2
NOR
29%
21%
50%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
AGF
3 - 1
VIB
26%
21%
53%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +3 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
BRO
3 - 3
AGF
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
ESB
2 - 1
AGF
46%
21%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Randers Reservas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
RAN
1 - 2
OBR
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
RAN
1 - 1
HOR
52%
21%
27%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
RAN
1 - 2
AAB
49%
22%
29%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
AGF
0 - 3
RAN
42%
23%
35%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
RAN
1 - 1
SIL
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |