African Warriors vs AK Johannesburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
African Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
CAP
0 - 0
WAR
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
WAR
2 - 2
MAL
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
WAR
0 - 2
MPU
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
EAG
0 - 0
WAR
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
WAR
1 - 0
DYN
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
AK Johannesburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
AKJ
1 - 1
SAN
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
AKJ
3 - 0
BAY
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
CAP
3 - 0
AKJ
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
AKJ
2 - 1
MPU
38%
27%
36%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
AKJ
0 - 3
WIT
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |