African Warriors vs Golden Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
49.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
African Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
WAR
1 - 2
MAL
57%
22%
22%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
WAR
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
CAP
2 - 0
WAR
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
WAR
0 - 0
MIL
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
WAR
1 - 2
BLA
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 2
GOL
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
GOL
2 - 0
CAP
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
MIL
0 - 2
GOL
41%
28%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
GOL
2 - 0
BLA
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
GOL
2 - 0
PAR
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |