African Warriors vs Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
African Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
BLA
1 - 2
WAR
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
WAR
2 - 1
MAL
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
WAR
4 - 0
MIL
40%
28%
32%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
POL
4 - 0
WAR
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
WIT
4 - 2
WAR
52%
25%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
ROS
1 - 2
BAY
36%
27%
38%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
COS
1 - 1
BAY
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
EAG
1 - 1
BAY
37%
26%
38%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
BAY
0 - 1
ROS
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
BAY
0 - 1
CAP
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |