CAF Champions Last 16
Global 1-4
Africa Sports vs Al-Hilal Omdurman analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Africa Sports
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
AFR
0 - 0
HIR
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
STE
1 - 1
AFR
47%
28%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
AFR
1 - 3
JCA
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
BAS
0 - 1
AFR
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
AFR
1 - 0
AFA
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Hilal Omdurman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
ALH
2 - 0
POR
67%
19%
15%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
WAD
1 - 2
ALH
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
ALH
4 - 1
ALA
64%
19%
16%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
ALH
3 - 2
JAZ
65%
19%
15%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
ALM
1 - 0
ALH
65%
19%
17%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |