Afogados vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
73.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
SSS
1 - 1
AFO
28%
25%
48%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
AFO
2 - 0
ACA
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
AFO
1 - 1
RFC
28%
22%
50%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
SAL
1 - 0
AFO
63%
22%
15%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
FLO
5 - 1
AFO
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
SPO
0 - 4
CEA
30%
26%
43%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
SPO
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
SPO
2 - 0
CEN
83%
12%
4%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
SPO
0 - 1
CON
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
BAH
4 - 0
SPO
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |