Afogados vs Sao Paulo Crystal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
ICA
2 - 5
AFO
49%
26%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
AFO
0 - 0
ARN
21%
25%
54%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
GLO
2 - 0
AFO
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
AFO
1 - 1
RFC
21%
23%
56%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
AFO
0 - 1
SOU
32%
27%
41%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sao Paulo Crystal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
SPC
2 - 3
GLO
35%
26%
40%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
SPC
1 - 1
ICA
38%
27%
35%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
SOU
1 - 0
SPC
72%
18%
9%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
CRA
1 - 1
SPC
18%
21%
61%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
SPC
1 - 1
ARN
16%
23%
61%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |