Afogados vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
39%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 1
AFO
85%
12%
4%
|
40 | 74 | 34 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
ISC
1 - 1
AFO
29%
26%
46%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
5 - 2
AFO
71%
18%
12%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
AFO
2 - 2
VCR
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
AFO
78%
15%
7%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
SAL
2 - 1
SAN
31%
28%
42%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
SAL
4 - 0
SSS
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ISC
2 - 1
SAL
18%
25%
57%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SAL
2 - 2
CAR
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 0
SAL
81%
14%
6%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |