Afogados vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
39.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 0
AFO
41%
28%
32%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
AFO
2 - 2
GUA
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 0
AFO
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
AFO
3 - 2
ATL
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ARN
3 - 1
AFO
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SAL
2 - 0
CAM
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
FLO
2 - 2
SAL
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SAL
0 - 1
FLO
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
CAM
0 - 0
SAL
28%
28%
44%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAL
34%
28%
38%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |