Afogados vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
44.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
SAL
2 - 3
AFO
63%
22%
16%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
NAU
2 - 0
AFO
78%
15%
7%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
AFO
76%
16%
8%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ACA
2 - 2
AFO
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
AFO
2 - 1
FEC
60%
20%
21%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2019 |
FLU
1 - 0
SAL
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
SAL
1 - 1
FLU
58%
24%
18%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
SAL
0 - 0
FLU
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
COR
0 - 0
SAL
18%
24%
59%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
SER
1 - 1
SAL
20%
25%
56%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |