Afogados vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
60%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
AFO
1 - 1
FEC
53%
22%
26%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2017 |
PER
0 - 0
AFO
50%
25%
25%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
AFO
1 - 2
FEC
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2016 |
TFC
1 - 1
AFO
31%
23%
46%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
AFO
1 - 1
TFC
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2017 |
SAL
2 - 0
SER
72%
19%
8%
|
55 | 29 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
CON
2 - 1
SAL
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 0
RIV
59%
25%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
REM
1 - 1
SAL
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 1
SAL
70%
20%
10%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |