Afogados vs Retro FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
35.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
SED
0 - 4
AFO
31%
25%
45%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
AFO
2 - 1
SAL
31%
24%
45%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
SAL
2 - 3
AFO
63%
22%
16%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
NAU
2 - 0
AFO
78%
15%
7%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
AFO
76%
16%
8%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Retro FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
RFC
1 - 2
SAN
13%
18%
69%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CEN
0 - 2
RFC
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
RFC
2 - 2
SED
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
RFC
0 - 1
VCR
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
SED
1 - 1
RFC
22%
22%
56%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |