Afogados vs Petrolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
26.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
NAU
1 - 0
AFO
79%
15%
6%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
AFO
4 - 2
ACA
36%
25%
40%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SAL
1 - 0
AFO
69%
20%
11%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
NAU
2 - 1
AFO
79%
15%
7%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
AFO
2 - 1
PES
47%
22%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Petrolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PET
3 - 0
LIM
65%
21%
14%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
LIM
1 - 1
PET
23%
24%
53%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
SED
1 - 1
PET
34%
23%
43%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
PET
4 - 2
SED
47%
23%
31%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
PET
0 - 0
CAB
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |