Afogados vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.7%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
74.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
AFO
2 - 1
CAR
52%
22%
26%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
AFO
1 - 2
SAL
35%
26%
39%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 1
AFO
85%
12%
4%
|
38 | 73 | 35 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
ISC
1 - 1
AFO
29%
26%
46%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
5 - 2
AFO
71%
18%
12%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
TOC
1 - 0
NAU
5%
16%
79%
|
67 | 32 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CSA
3 - 1
NAU
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
VCR
1 - 2
NAU
7%
18%
76%
|
67 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
NAU
3 - 0
ALA
85%
11%
5%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
NAU
2 - 2
FOR
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |