Afogados vs Flamengo Arcoverde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
33%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
SER
1 - 0
AFO
31%
24%
44%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
AFO
0 - 0
AME
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
BEL
1 - 0
AFO
42%
24%
34%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
AFO
1 - 3
SAL
17%
23%
60%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
AFO
1 - 1
FEC
53%
22%
26%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo Arcoverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
CEN
0 - 0
FEC
55%
24%
21%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
FEC
1 - 0
PER
29%
23%
49%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SAL
2 - 1
FEC
70%
20%
10%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2017 |
FEC
0 - 0
ACA
37%
23%
40%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
AFO
1 - 1
FEC
53%
22%
26%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |