Afogados vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
SOU
3 - 2
AFO
60%
23%
17%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
RFC
1 - 1
AFO
71%
19%
10%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
AFO
1 - 1
GLO
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ARN
0 - 1
AFO
76%
16%
8%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
AFO
1 - 0
ICA
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
CRA
2 - 1
GLO
12%
19%
69%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SPC
2 - 0
CRA
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
SOU
2 - 0
CRA
81%
15%
5%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
CRA
0 - 1
ICA
21%
24%
55%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CRA
0 - 0
ARN
7%
18%
75%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | 0 |