Afogados vs Caruaru City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
AFO
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
AFO
1 - 1
BEL
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
ASA
2 - 0
AFO
62%
22%
16%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
AFO
1 - 2
ASA
35%
26%
39%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
AFO
7 - 0
SPC
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Caruaru City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
NAU
2 - 0
CAR
85%
10%
5%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 0
POR
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 0
CAR
76%
15%
9%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 3
VCR
35%
23%
42%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 0
CAR
86%
10%
4%
|
35 | 67 | 32 | 0 |