Afogados vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
54.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
SAL
3 - 1
AFO
67%
21%
13%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
AFO
0 - 3
SAL
34%
27%
39%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 0
AFO
41%
28%
32%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
AFO
2 - 2
GUA
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 0
AFO
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
ARN
0 - 0
GLO
73%
17%
11%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 3
ARN
26%
26%
48%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
ARN
4 - 1
ATL
71%
18%
12%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 2
ARN
26%
27%
48%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
ARN
3 - 0
GUA
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |