Série D Brazil Etapas Finales 1/16
Global 1-4
Afogados vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
38.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
AFO
7 - 0
SPC
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
ICA
2 - 5
AFO
49%
26%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
AFO
0 - 0
ARN
21%
25%
54%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
GLO
2 - 0
AFO
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
AFO
1 - 1
RFC
21%
23%
56%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 3
ASA
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
ASA
2 - 0
SAN
30%
28%
42%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
SER
2 - 0
ASA
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
ASA
1 - 1
LAG
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
CSE
0 - 1
ASA
45%
26%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |