Afogados vs Vitória das Tabocas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
PPE
3 - 0
AFO
79%
15%
6%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CEN
1 - 1
AFO
32%
25%
42%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
SPO
4 - 0
AFO
84%
12%
4%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
AFO
2 - 2
ATM
9%
19%
73%
|
45 | 81 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
AFO
0 - 2
SAN
16%
20%
64%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória das Tabocas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
ACA
0 - 1
SAL
15%
23%
61%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
RFC
2 - 0
ACA
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
ACA
1 - 1
PET
29%
25%
46%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
CEN
1 - 0
ACA
61%
22%
17%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
ACA
1 - 2
NAU
8%
18%
74%
|
29 | 61 | 32 | -1 |