Afips vs Akhmat Grozny II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afips
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
AFI
3 - 0
ALA
67%
19%
13%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
FCK
1 - 0
AFI
25%
25%
50%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
AFI
4 - 0
AST
66%
19%
14%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
BIO
0 - 1
AFI
18%
24%
58%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2015 |
AFI
1 - 0
SKA
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Akhmat Grozny II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
TER
1 - 0
FCK
27%
25%
48%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
AST
1 - 3
TER
69%
19%
12%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
TER
0 - 2
BIO
44%
24%
32%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
SKA
2 - 1
TER
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2015 |
TER
1 - 2
ANG
42%
24%
35%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |