Afips vs Mitos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afips
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
AFI
1 - 0
NAL
30%
28%
42%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
CHE
2 - 1
AFI
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
AFI
1 - 1
DMA
82%
13%
5%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
MAS
0 - 1
AFI
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
AFI
3 - 7
TER
79%
15%
7%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Mitos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
FCK
4 - 1
MIT
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
MIT
0 - 3
AST
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
BIO
0 - 1
MIT
39%
27%
34%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
MIT
1 - 0
SKA
45%
26%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
ANG
2 - 1
MIT
32%
26%
42%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |