WC Qual. Asia Primera Ronda Final
Global 1-5
Afghanistan vs Syria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
65.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afghanistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2007 |
SYR
3 - 0
AFG
79%
13%
8%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
PHL
1 - 1
AFG
31%
22%
47%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2006 |
AFG
2 - 2
TWN
62%
19%
18%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
IND
2 - 0
AFG
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
LKA
1 - 2
AFG
31%
23%
46%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Syria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2007 |
SYR
3 - 0
AFG
79%
13%
8%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
IND
1 - 0
SYR
16%
21%
63%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
KHM
1 - 5
SYR
13%
18%
69%
|
70 | 32 | 38 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2007 |
IND
2 - 3
SYR
16%
21%
63%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
SYR
4 - 1
KGZ
82%
13%
6%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |