Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afghanistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
AFG
4 - 1
MDV
42%
24%
34%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
BTN
0 - 3
AFG
20%
21%
59%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2015 |
AFG
4 - 0
BGD
59%
22%
18%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
AFG
3 - 0
KHM
69%
18%
12%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
SYR
5 - 2
AFG
86%
10%
4%
|
43 | 74 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 2015 |
IND
2 - 0
LKA
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
NPL
0 - 1
LKA
55%
24%
21%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
BTN
2 - 1
LKA
30%
23%
47%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
LKA
0 - 1
BTN
64%
20%
17%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2014 |
BGD
1 - 0
LKA
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |