Afghanistan vs Nepal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afghanistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
AFG
2 - 0
12%
18%
70%
|
42 | 76 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
0 - 3
AFG
84%
11%
4%
|
40 | 76 | 36 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
TJK
1 - 0
AFG
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
AFG
0 - 3
NPL
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -3 |
| 07 Dec. 2009 |
MDV
3 - 1
AFG
65%
19%
16%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
NPL
2 - 1
BTN
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
NPL
1 - 0
BTN
77%
15%
9%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
AFG
0 - 3
NPL
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
MDV
1 - 1
NPL
61%
20%
19%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
NPL
2 - 1
BTN
73%
17%
11%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | +1 |